Fredericia vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
2º
1º
44
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 3
FRE
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 0
LFA
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 1
BFR
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VEJ
3 - 1
FRE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 0
HBK
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
LFA
3 - 5
HBK
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HBK
1 - 3
HOB
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HBK
0 - 1
HIL
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LFA
4 - 2
HBK
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 0
HBK
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |