Fredericia vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LYN
1 - 2
FRE
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
HOB
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VES
0 - 0
FRE
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
VEN
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
SON
1 - 2
FRE
12%
18%
69%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
5 - 0
SIF
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 1
MFK
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCK
2 - 1
FCN
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OBK
2 - 2
FCK
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
FCK
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |