Fredericia vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NAE
1 - 0
FRE
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
VFF
0 - 3
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 0
JAM
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
HOB
2 - 1
FRE
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 5
BRØ
59%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
ESB
1 - 0
HOB
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ESB
4 - 0
VFF
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BRØ
0 - 0
ESB
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
JAM
0 - 7
ESB
9%
20%
71%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ESB
0 - 2
RAN
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |