Fredericia vs Aalborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
5º
65
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
1 - 2
FRE
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 2
SON
31%
25%
45%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
SIF
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
4 - 0
FRE
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 1
VEN
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aalborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AAB
3 - 3
KOL
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
HOB
2 - 1
AAB
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
2 - 2
AAB
14%
22%
64%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AAB
1 - 0
SON
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HIL
1 - 2
AAB
14%
21%
65%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |