Frauenfeld vs Widnau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
51.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
14º
12º
45
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 11 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frauenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 2
FRA
54%
21%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 4
WIL
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
0 - 3
UST
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
SVS
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LAC
3 - 0
FRA
56%
19%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Widnau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
WID
3 - 2
LAC
57%
20%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 0
WID
29%
21%
50%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WID
1 - 1
FCR
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AMR
1 - 1
WID
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
WID
3 - 2
DSG
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |