Frauenfeld vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frauenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GOS
3 - 0
FRA
68%
18%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 1
AMR
40%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 2
TOW
58%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SIR
3 - 1
FRA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 1
MEL
38%
22%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SVS
21%
21%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
GOS
1 - 3
MAR
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +2 |