Fraserburgh vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 3
KIL
37%
25%
39%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
FRA
14%
18%
68%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAI
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
1 - 3
FRA
20%
22%
58%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MON
4 - 3
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
AIR
6 - 4
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
AIR
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |