Cup 1/64
Global 2-5
Fraserburgh vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 3
CIV
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STC
3 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
63%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FRA
3 - 3
STC
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 4
SPA
25%
22%
53%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 2
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 1
ELG
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ELG
5 - 0
ALL
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
STR
1 - 0
ELG
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 3
CLY
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PET
1 - 3
ELG
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |