Fraserburgh vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 0
COL
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ELG
5 - 2
FRA
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
ELG
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 3
CIV
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
STC
3 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
63%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | -2 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
THE
3 - 0
CLY
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
THE
3 - 1
STI
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
THE
1 - 2
CWB
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 64 | 29 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BER
3 - 0
THE
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
THE
1 - 4
ELG
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -3 |