Fraserburgh vs Auchinleck Talbot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRA
13 - 0
FOR
90%
7%
2%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INV
0 - 5
FRA
44%
23%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
TUR
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HUN
2 - 2
FRA
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EDA
1 - 2
FRA
11%
16%
73%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Auchinleck Talbot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AUC
2 - 1
COV
12%
14%
73%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
COV
1 - 1
AUC
71%
17%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
WIC
1 - 2
AUC
33%
23%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
10 - 0
WIG
87%
9%
5%
|
42 | 13 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AUC
3 - 1
BAN
43%
22%
35%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |