Fraserburgh vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
BUC
47%
22%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
FRA
7%
13%
80%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 4
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
STR
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
ARB
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
COV
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ICT
1 - 1
ARB
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 2
AYR
44%
26%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
HAM
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |