Francs Borains vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
14º
14º
6
4º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
8 | 61 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 58 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 51 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 23 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 63% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
24.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francs Borains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TUB
2 - 1
FBO
44%
23%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 2
FBO
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
FBO
37%
26%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FBO
0 - 1
LOU
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EUP
3 - 3
FBO
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LOM
0 - 1
SPO
69%
18%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
LOM
17%
22%
61%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOM
0 - 2
RWD
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAA
2 - 1
LOM
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 1
KSC
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |