France U23 vs South Africa U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 1
FRA
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
KOR
1 - 2
FRA
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 1
TUR
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1996 |
POR
2 - 1
FRA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
FRA
2 - 1
KSA
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
JPN
1 - 0
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
EGY
1 - 1
RSA
46%
23%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
IRQ
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 0
RSA
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
RSA
72%
17%
10%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |