France U23 vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
ROU
1 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 2
NED
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
FRA
4 - 0
ROU
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 1975 |
NED
2 - 3
FRA
56%
20%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1972 |
FRA
1 - 3
SUN
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
MEX
0 - 3
BRA
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1975 |
ISR
1 - 0
MEX
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
2 - 0
USA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1975 |
MEX
7 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
USA
0 - 1
MEX
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |