France U23 vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
GTM
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
ROU
1 - 0
FRA
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
FRA
4 - 2
NED
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
FRA
4 - 0
ROU
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1976 |
MEX
2 - 2
ISR
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
GTM
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
ISR
0 - 0
KOR
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ISR
4 - 1
JPN
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
KOR
1 - 3
ISR
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |