France U23 vs Spain U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 1
EGY
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
ARG
32%
24%
43%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 3
FRA
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUI
90%
8%
2%
|
63 | 8 | 55 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 0
USA
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
JPN
0 - 3
ESP
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 2
EGY
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RDO
1 - 3
ESP
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
UZB
1 - 2
ESP
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |