France U17 vs Italy U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
4 - 0
NIR
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
18%
22%
60%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
5 - 0
FRO
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 24 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
DEN
1 - 0
FRA
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SRB
1 - 1
FRA
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 3
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
CYP
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 4
DEN
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SVN
2 - 3
ITA
20%
24%
57%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |