France U17 vs Northern Ireland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 2
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 0
FRA
13%
20%
68%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 1
ROU
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
4 - 0
EST
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 25 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
FRA
54%
22%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
5 - 1
NIR
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 4
NIR
13%
16%
71%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 0
NIR
79%
15%
6%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
NIR
0 - 2
GRC
19%
24%
58%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NIR
1 - 4
DEN
12%
19%
68%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |