France U21 vs Serbia y Montenegro U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 0
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
FRA
32%
25%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
FRA
1 - 0
CRO
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 1
SVK
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2005 |
FRA
2 - 1
ENG
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia y Montenegro U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
SYM
68%
18%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2006 |
SYM
0 - 1
GER
24%
22%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 2
SYM
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SYM
3 - 1
CRO
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
SYM
5 - 1
BIH
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |