U21 EC Qualifying Play-offs Final
Global 4-5
France U21 vs Norway U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 0
CHI
84%
11%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SVK
2 - 1
FRA
18%
25%
58%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
KAZ
0 - 3
FRA
10%
19%
72%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 0
LVA
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 1
ITA
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Norway U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 3
NOR
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 2
AUT
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |