France U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1999 |
FRA
2 - 0
ISL
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ARM
1 - 4
FRA
10%
22%
69%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1999 |
UKR
0 - 0
FRA
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FRA
2 - 0
RUS
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
FRA
3 - 1
ARM
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1999 |
BLR
1 - 2
ITA
18%
25%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ITA
3 - 1
DEN
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1999 |
SUI
0 - 0
ITA
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ITA
6 - 2
WAL
82%
14%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
ITA
4 - 1
BLR
76%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |