France U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
FRO
91%
7%
2%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
MKD
0 - 1
FRA
9%
16%
75%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
7 - 0
ARM
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 40 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SRB
0 - 3
FRA
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
5 - 0
UKR
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
SVK
2 - 1
NIR
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 2
MLT
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
NIR
4 - 0
LTU
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
3 - 0
NIR
87%
10%
3%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 0
SVK
13%
19%
68%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |