France U21 vs Slovenia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
7.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
SCO
1 - 3
FRA
19%
25%
56%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
FRA
0 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 3
NED
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
FRA
2 - 0
SYM
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 0
GER
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Slovenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SVN
1 - 0
SCO
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
NED
2 - 0
SVN
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SVN
0 - 0
NED
26%
23%
52%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
SVN
3 - 0
SCO
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 0
SVN
81%
14%
5%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |