France U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
ECU
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
MLI
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 1
KOR
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COL
4 - 1
FRA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
NGA
1 - 0
ENG
90%
8%
2%
|
63 | 25 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
KSA
0 - 2
NGA
27%
25%
49%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 5
NGA
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
NGA
5 - 0
GTM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
MEX
4 - 1
NGA
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -2 |