France U20 vs Japan U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 3
JPN
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CZE
0 - 2
FRA
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
4 - 3
ENG
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
NED
0 - 2
FRA
27%
22%
51%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
FRA
25%
22%
53%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 3
JPN
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
USA
2 - 1
JPN
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CRC
0 - 3
JPN
43%
23%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
PAN
0 - 0
JPN
30%
23%
48%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
JPN
2 - 2
BRA
15%
21%
65%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |