France U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 0
MLI
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 1
KOR
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
COL
4 - 1
FRA
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 3
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ECU
3 - 0
CRC
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
ECU
0 - 2
ESP
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2011 |
AUS
1 - 1
ECU
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ECU
4 - 0
PAN
55%
22%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
ECU
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |