France U19 vs Poland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
DEN
0 - 1
FRA
14%
20%
65%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
FRA
4 - 2
MLT
89%
9%
2%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FRA
3 - 0
FIN
82%
13%
6%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SCO
1 - 1
FRA
26%
24%
51%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
FRA
0 - 0
BLR
84%
12%
5%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
POL
3 - 1
SWE
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
FRO
1 - 2
POL
6%
15%
79%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
POL
0 - 2
ISL
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
CZE
2 - 0
POL
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2006 |
POL
4 - 1
BEL
28%
24%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |