France U19 vs Italy U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
NED
1 - 5
FRA
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 2
FRA
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
ENG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
STR
0 - 0
FRA
23%
24%
52%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
POR
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
AUT
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 2
TUR
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |