Francavilla Calcio vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
23%
26%
51%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
ACI
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TUR
0 - 3
FRA
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 1
FRA
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 2
FRA
45%
25%
29%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 1
POM
48%
22%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
SSE
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
SER
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RPO
2 - 1
SSE
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 3
TAR
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |