Francavilla Calcio vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 2
FRA
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
FRA
4 - 3
USN
82%
11%
7%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
26%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
GEL
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CSV
1 - 1
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
21%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |