Francana vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 0
FRA
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
FRA
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 5
PRI
30%
27%
43%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 3
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 0
FRA
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
PRI
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
2 - 1
TUP
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
COT
1 - 2
TUP
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 1
RIO
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |