Francana vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
37%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 2
FRA
85%
12%
3%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 2
FRA
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 2
SEP
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 2
SAO
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 2
TAU
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 0
AME
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
INT
0 - 0
TAU
34%
25%
41%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
TAU
20%
22%
57%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |