Francana vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LEM
0 - 0
FRA
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEB
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
FRA
2 - 1
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BAT
3 - 3
PEN
29%
25%
47%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEM
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
BEB
1 - 2
PEN
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |