Francana vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 4
MIR
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 0
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRA
3 - 1
ITA
41%
27%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
VOT
2 - 2
FRA
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 2
RIO
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
MIR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 0
NOR
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRI
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |