Francana vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FRA
4 - 2
BAN
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BER
1 - 1
FRA
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 1
SER
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VOT
2 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
13%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 2
VOT
17%
25%
58%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
RIO
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 2
MON
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 1
MON
80%
15%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
VOT
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |