Francana vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 0
BSP
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
FRA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 0
BAR
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CAT
4 - 0
FRA
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
26%
24%
49%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
MON
3 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
BSP
0 - 2
MON
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |