Francana vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 3
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 2
LIN
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
FRA
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MON
3 - 1
MIR
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
3 - 1
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 1
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |