Francana vs Matonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
TAU
3 - 1
FRA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 0
GUA
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 0
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
4 - 2
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Matonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
3 - 3
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
MAT
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
MAT
2 - 0
TUP
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAT
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SER
2 - 1
MAT
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |