Francana vs Linense CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
FRA
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
FRA
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 1
NOR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FRA
0 - 4
MIR
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Linense CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
MIR
46%
25%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
LIN
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
LIN
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LIN
5 - 3
FRA
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |