Francana vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 3
FRA
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FRA
1 - 2
LIN
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RIO
3 - 0
FRA
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MIR
2 - 0
IND
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
SAO
22%
23%
54%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
IND
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
GRE
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |