Francana vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TAU
1 - 2
FRA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 0
FLA
7%
16%
76%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BEB
1 - 1
FRA
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
JUV
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 2
IND
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
IND
1 - 2
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 3
IND
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
4 - 0
IND
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |