Francana vs Guaçuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 0
COT
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
4 - 2
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 2
IND
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 0
FRA
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guaçuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
RIO
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SJS
1 - 2
GUA
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |