Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 4-2
Fram vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
FJO
1 - 2
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
0 - 2
FHH
28%
25%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
3 - 0
KRR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
FRA
2 - 1
NJA
75%
15%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
STJ
4 - 1
FRA
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TNS
1 - 0
AIR
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
RHY
2 - 1
TNS
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
WEL
1 - 2
TNS
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAE
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BAN
0 - 2
TNS
38%
24%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |