Fram vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
9º
14º
13º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KJE
1 - 1
FRA
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 5
FRA
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
FRA
2 - 1
BRA
24%
23%
54%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 1
FRA
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 1
GRO
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 4
NOT
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
GRO
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 4
STR
16%
20%
65%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 1
BRY
29%
23%
48%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |