Fram vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
EGE
3 - 0
FRA
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 0
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BYA
2 - 4
FRA
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 1
VIN
47%
22%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VID
3 - 2
FRA
40%
23%
36%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
BRY
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
NAR
70%
17%
12%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
EGE
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
HON
1 - 0
VAR
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
BYA
71%
17%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |