Fraga vs Villanueva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+260%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 1
ATL
34%
24%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 1
FRA
56%
23%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 2
CFA
29%
26%
46%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TER
5 - 0
FRA
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
SDB
30%
28%
43%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TAR
5 - 2
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
BIN
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAR
17%
24%
59%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |