Fraga vs Utebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 0
SJU
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 4
FRA
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 2
TAM
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
FRA
30%
23%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
CFA
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
UFC
3 - 0
TAM
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
UFC
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
UFC
3 - 2
CFA
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CFV
1 - 1
UFC
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UFC
0 - 2
ICF
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |