Fraga vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1992 |
RSO
2 - 1
FRA
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
FRA
3 - 2
HER
44%
29%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1992 |
ALA
4 - 0
FRA
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
FRA
0 - 0
MHN
44%
29%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
FRA
0 - 0
BIN
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1992 |
ZAR
3 - 0
BIN
62%
22%
15%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
MOL
0 - 0
ZAR
31%
28%
42%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1992 |
ZAR
0 - 3
FCA
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
0 - 1
ZAR
51%
27%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
ZAR
3 - 1
GIM
56%
26%
19%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |