Fraga vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
BAR
1 - 0
FRA
37%
27%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
FRA
1 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
BAS
0 - 1
FRA
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
FRA
3 - 0
LAR
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
FCA
1 - 0
FRA
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CLH
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
BIN
2 - 2
ZAR
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
ZAR
0 - 3
MOL
46%
27%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -3 |
| 27 Jan. 1990 |
RSO
1 - 0
ZAR
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ZAR
0 - 2
TER
62%
23%
15%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |