Fraga vs Poblense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
HOS
2 - 1
FRA
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
FRA
1 - 2
BIN
47%
26%
27%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
GIM
6 - 0
FRA
65%
22%
14%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
FRA
2 - 2
BAR
51%
27%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ARN
1 - 0
FRA
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Poblense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
PBL
2 - 0
AND
42%
27%
30%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
RSO
5 - 0
PBL
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
PBL
1 - 0
OSA
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
TER
2 - 1
PBL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
PBL
1 - 3
MHN
52%
26%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |